🔍 Market Insight
Oil prices continued to rise despite a record IEA emergency release of 400 million barrels, more than double the 182 million barrels released after the 2022 Ukraine invasion. Traders see this as a temporary reprieve, not a structural solution, as tensions around the Strait of Hormuz persist.
Recent reports indicate three commercial vessels were struck by projectiles near the Strait, fueling supply concerns. Meanwhile, US policy may further influence production, with talks of invoking the Defense Production Act to ease offshore drilling restrictions.

📈 Upside Drivers
• Geopolitical risks – Strait of Hormuz supply disruption fears
• US policy – Potential boost in domestic production under review
• Market sentiment – Emergency reserve release seen as short-term relief

⚡ Trading Outlook
✔ Oil markets remain focused on supply shocks → bullish bias persists
✔ Corrective dips could provide buying opportunities
✔ Macro outlook shows stagflation risk, keeping energy markets sensitive to geopolitical developments

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