30 Mar 2026
π± EUR/USD consolidating near 1.1528
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β Structure suggests breakdown incoming
π H4 Outlook
β’ Range forming β bearish continuation setup
β’ MACD below zero β strong downside momentum
π― Target: 1.1404
β Followed by potential rebound
π H1 Structure
β’ Next leg forming lower
π― 1.1440 β short-term target
πΌ Rebound zones:
β’ 1.1535
β’ Extension β 1.1647
β οΈ Stochastic below 50 β momentum still bearish
π Macro Driver
The Middle East conflict continues to dominate
β’ USD supported (safe haven)
β’ Oil rising β inflation pressure
β’ Fed expectations shifting hawkish
β EUR remains under pressure
β‘οΈ Trading Bias
β’ Trend = bearish
β’ Strategy = sell rallies / trade breakdown
π₯ Bottom Line
Consolidation is distribution, not accumulation
β Expect continuation lower before any meaningful recovery
π Trade with precision, not emotion
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