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25 Mar 2026

USD/JPY holding structure.

Price anchored at the 20DMA, maintaining a tight 158.00 β€” 159.00 range.
Support remains intact β€” but momentum is no longer expanding.

Positioning Insight:
Upside pressure is still present
But momentum is fading (MACD softening, RSI neutral)
β†’ This is not trend continuation, it’s controlled consolidation

Key Levels in Play:
⬆️ 159.90 β€” Monthly high / breakout trigger
⬆️ 160.50 β€” Intervention zone (Japan sensitivity level)
⬇️ 158.50 β€” First weakness signal
⬇️ 157.50 β€” Structural support
⬇️ 156.40 β€” Deeper correction zone (50 & 100DMA confluence)

Macro Overlay:
Flow remains tied to the Middle East war narrative.
Markets are not pricing a fast resolution, keeping risk positioning cautious.

Desk View:
This is a pause, not a reversal.
Holding 158.00 keeps the structure clean.
Breaks will not drift β€” they will expand with intent.

Until then:
β†’ Range rules. Patience pays.
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