Overview:
The US annual inflation rate is expected to hold steady at 2.4% YoY in February 2026, unchanged from January, marking the lowest level since May 2025.

Monthly CPI:
Estimated increase: 0.3%, slightly above January’s 0.2%
Gasoline prices likely rose
Services, food, and housing price growth expected to slow
Used vehicle prices remain lower
Core CPI (Excludes Food & Energy):
Annual: 2.5% YoY, stable from January
Monthly: +0.2%, slightly below previous 0.3%

Market Implications:
Inflation remains slightly above the Fed’s 2% target
Suggests a degree of stabilization in the US price trend
Base effects from last year’s stronger readings contribute to moderation

Trading Insight:
Markets will watch the CPI data closely for Fed rate policy implications
A higher-than-expected print could strengthen the USD
A weaker or stable reading may limit USD upside, impacting EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and commodity-linked currencies

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