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06 Oct 2025

Nasdaq 100 Weekly Analysis – High-Probability Scalping & Smart Money Insight

πŸ“ˆ Current Macro Trend: Bullish
The Nasdaq 100 continues its macro impulsive structure, currently riding Wave (3). The target zone aligns with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension near 26,997–27,000. Smart Money is clearly driving this leg, creating Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and Breaks of Structure (BOS), signaling strong institutional bullish intent.

Wave Structure & Expected Moves
Wave (3) β†’ Strong expansion toward 26.9K–27K.
Wave (4) β†’ Expected re-accumulation zone: 22,000–17,500. Smart Money likely to reload positions here.
Wave (5) β†’ Final bullish leg projected toward 35K–38K.

Scalping & Setup Insights
Short-Term (2025–2026): Momentum remains bullish β†’ potential scalping entries near pullbacks.
Medium-Term (2026–2027): Wave (4) correction β†’ look for institutional demand zones around 22K–18K. Ideal for re-entry setups.
Long-Term (2028–2029): Wave (5) expansion β†’ macro bullish targets 35K–38K.

πŸ’‘ Key Smart Money Observations for Traders:
Liquidity Sweeps β†’ Below 2022–2023 lows confirm accumulation.
Order Blocks β†’ 22K–18K is the critical demand zone for Wave (4).
FVGs from Wave (3) β†’ Likely mitigation opportunities in correction.
Continuous BOS β†’ Confirms institutional bullish pressure.

High-Probability Scalping Tip
Current price is trading above equilibrium (premium zone). Scalpers can watch for pullback entries near minor support levels with tight stops and high reward-to-risk setups.

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